Popular articles

PIR Center consultant Oleg Demidov describes the role of the Verisign corporation in the DNS root zone management, comments on the process U.S. Department of Trade’s withdrawal from direct contractual relationship with the technical management of the root zone, and looks at the potential impact of c...

Origins of the notion

It should be underlined that the concept of “strategic stability” was born in the late 1980s in the context of START-I negotiations to serve as a foundation of deep strategic arms reductions. In this role, it was designed to replace an amorphous and subjective notion of “equal...


On July 16, 2018, President Putin and President Trump finally held their first summit in Helsinki. The summit did not yield specific agreements in arms control domain, which means the current problems will have to be addressed by next U.S.-Russia summit. Now there are only two major arms control ...

All articles


Did you enjoy the article?


  • Position : PIR Center Executive Board Member and Security Index Editorial Board Member
  • Affiliation : PIR Center
complete list

A View by a Russian Liberal: Thinking about the Unthinkable, or Why Herman Kahn Was Right

Yury Fedorov

“Ignoring the scenarios that now appear unthinkable – such as the United States leaving Afghanistan without first defeating the Taliban, a new Cold War breaking out, Russia's disintegration, a war against Iran or a sudden and unexpected change of regime in that country leading to a new U.S._Iranian alliance – does not just make the scientific analysis of the world politics poorer. It could also lead to some very unpleasant consequences for those political leaders who cannot escape the narrow confines of what is seemingly obvious.”

A View by a Russian Liberal: Thinking about the Unthinkable, or Why Herman Kahn Was Right (full text)


SECURITY INDEX №3-4 (88-89), 2009