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  • Position : Program Director, Emerging Technologies and Global Security Program
  • Affiliation : PIR Center
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The New Issue of the Russia Confidential Analytical Bulletin by Vadim Kozyulin

18.02.2014

MOSCOW, FEBRUARY 18, 2014. PIR PRESS – “Now, more than 12 years after NATO launched its operation in Afghanistan, what we can assert is that the terrorist network is expanding rapidly, its morale has been strengthened by the dream of an Islamic caliphate, and the member countries of the anti-terror coalition may well have to shift from attack to defense”, – PIR Center’s Senior Research Fellow Vadim Kozyulin.

On February 11, 2014 the new issue of the Russia Confidential analytical bulletin was released – a product of the PIR Center and the Trialogue Club International. The issue entitled The Terrorist International: Is There a Future for a Democratic Afghanistan? was prepared by PIR Center’s senior research fellow Vadim Kozyulin.

In his article, Vadim Kozyulin has measured the impact of developed radical Islamism and has concluded that it could play a key role in determining Afghanistan’s future. In the expert’s view, there is a tremendous risk that the country will not arrive at the democratic future, and the global terrorist International, which is gaining in strength, will turn Afghanistan into a sharia, Islamist state.

In Vadim Kozyulin’s opinion, as a rehearsal for the situation that may arise in Afghanistan once the Western coalition has withdrawn all of its troops in 2014, could be seen 2013 confrontation in Badakhshan – a strategic foothold situated on the borders of four countries – Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Pakistan and China. “The terrorist International is standing right at the gates to Central Asia”, warns the expert. The headings of sections of the bulletin are equally alarming: Specter of Islamism Wandering across Europe; Russia – in an Area of Risk…

Outlining the modern geography of radical Islamism, Vadim Kozyulin emphasizes that at the present time, it is not about the victory over separate Islamist groups in specific countries: radical Islamism has evolved into a global and international terrorist network that grows new tentacles with each passing day. “Now, more than 12 years after NATO launched its operation in Afghanistan, what we can assert is that the terrorist network is expanding rapidly, its morale has been strengthened by the dream of an Islamic caliphate, and the member countries of the anti-terror coalition may well have to shift from attack to defense.”

The Russia Confidential analytical bulletin is published monthly and distributed electronically among the members of the Trialogue Club International in Russian or English. Archive of all issues of the bulletin is available at PIR Center’s website.

With questions concerning membership in the Trialogue Club International, please contact us by e-mail trialogue@pircenter.org or by phone +7 985 764 98 96  and fax +7 495 987 19 14.

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