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  • Affiliation : Independent Libyan Academic, Journalist
  • Affiliation : Chairman and Founder, Gulf Research Center, President of Sager Group Holding
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International Security Index iSi decreased to 2762 points. Fetouri, Sager comment events of the week.

29.07.2014

MOSCOW, JULY 29, 2014. PIR PRESS - “For the last four years Libya has been in the grip of militias that respect no law and understand no language but violence. The July violence over groups that control the main international airport south of Tripoli is only another sad example of what the so called revolution brought to the country that used to be cradle of stability and security in the region of North Africa”, - Independent Libyan Academic, Journalist, Mustafa Fetouri.

The new weekly International Security Index iSi was published in Kommersant (in Russian).

During the week of July 21 - 28, 2014, the International Security Index iSi decreased to 2762 points. In the Gaza Strip after a 12-hour ceasefire between Israel and Hamas military operation continued. In Syria, the rebels attacked a military airfield in Hama; EU Council extended sanctions against the Syrian regime. In Lugansk and Donetsk regions of Ukraine fierce fighting between the army and militias continued; in Kiev at the Verkhovna Rada pro-government coalition broke up. Iraq launched a major military operation against insurgents of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant; Parliament elected Fouad Maasuma a president of the country. In Libya, the army was fighting with the Islamists. In Pakistan, riots broke out due to a power outage. Terrorist attacks occurred in Thailand, Iraq, Afghanistan and Syria. In Taiwan airliner crashed, nearly 50 people were killed. On the border of Mali and Burkina Faso Algerian airliner crashed; 119 people were killed.

Comments on the week's events by members of the International Expert Group of the PIR Center

Mustafa Fetouri (Libya), Independent Libyan Academic, Journalist – by e-mail from Tripoli: It appears that the development on the global level have been more toward the negative side. Despite the Russian assisted breakthrough on the Iranian nuclear program we have seen the NATO igniting it’s never ending ambitions of expansion eastwards and getting ever closer to the Russian Federation’s borders leading Ukraine to almost civil war.

At the same time the western assisted terrorism across the Middle East and Sahel countries have gained more power and got even more sophisticated than it has been. The western backed militias in Syria and Libya in particular have been bringing destruction and mass murder in the name of democracy and freedom.

For the last four years Libya has been in the grip of militias that respect no law and understand no language but violence. The July violence over groups that control the main international airport south of Tripoli is only another sad example of what the so called revolution brought to the country that used to be cradle of stability and security in the region of North Africa. The Libyans today lack not only security in their daily lives but also basic necessities particularly when violence breaks out between various militias.

Abdulaziz Sager (Saudi Arabia) – Chairman and Founder of the Gulf Research Center – by e-mail from Dubai: The security has continued to decrease especially with events in Iraq where the central state has fractured further and extremist groups have made key advances. Overall, the current outlook for the stability in the Middle East and Gulf region is bleak and there has also been renewed violence in the Israeli occupied territories.

Key negative events include the rise of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) group and their ability to make territorial gains inside Iraq. ISIL activity can have the potential consequences for neighboring states including Jordan, the continued fighting in Syria with unabated refugee flows and the indiscriminate use of barrel bombing by the Asad regime. The outbreak of violence in the Palestinian occupied territories and Israeli bombing of Gaza and the killing of Saudi border guards by a suicide attack from al-Qaeda in the Arabian peninsula in Yemen, and the continued fighting and instability in Libya are also among the negative events of the period.  

There has been some increased cooperation between the United States and Saudi Arabia aimed at discussion of developments in the region. Although it is doubtful whether this leads to any results, it is nevertheless an element that could lead to better coordination between these two countries.

In autumn 2014 we will still witness a decline as there is little evidence for positive developments as far as Iraq and Syria are concerned. In addition, the failure to come to an agreement over the Iranian nuclear file by the July 20 deadline could make the situation even more uncertain.  

For all the questions concerning the International Security Index please contact Galiya Ibragimova by e-mail ibragimova at pircenter.org

 

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