Experts

  • Position : Professor
  • Affiliation : Department of Integrated Communications, The Higher School of Economics
  • Position : Consultant
  • Affiliation : PIR Center
  • Position : Consultant
  • Affiliation : PIR Center
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Related articles

The Middle East remains one of the zones of high tension and instability in the contemporary world. Today, new challenges – e.g., international terrorism, the crises in Iran, Iraq, Yemen, Libya, and Syria – are adding to the old and deeply rooted problems created by the Arab-Israeli conflict. The un...

Andrey Baklitskiy

The future of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) may soon be clarified. There is little doubt in Tehran that US will withdraw from the JCPOA. PIR Center consultant Andrey Baklitskiy, who had recently visited Teheran for participating in Russian-Iranian Dialogue, shares his view on the fu...

The internal agreement for Iran and the strategic vectors of the conflict in Syria – new entries in our blog

29.01.2016

MOSCOW, JANUARY 29, 2016. PIR-PRESS – “In Syria, we have witnessed the attempts of at least two new centers of power – Turkey and Saudi Arabia – to pursue their geopolitical goals by means of force. Subsequently, Iran too began to display its geopolitical ambitions in the Syrian theater. The activation of power centers constitutes a phenomenon that by far extends the field of the broader Middle East.  Other countries – taking into account, of course, their actual capabilities and the conditions under which they operate – pursue a similar policy, such as Poland, India, Brazil and Iran. In the near future, assuming a stabilization of the economic situation, Indonesia and Egypt will also begin to pursue such a policy,” – Dmitry Evstafiev, member of the PIR Center Executive Board.

Associated Press reports that Teheran has confirmed that it is training military advisors for voluntary service with the Syrian government forces. Experts of the PIR Center provide an analysis of the situation in the Middle East.

Dmitry Evstafiev, Professor at the Higher School of Economics and member of the PIR Center Executive Board, argues that Iran’s policy conduct in the Middle East constitutes a new vector in global development – strategic countering of unipolarity and polycentrism. According to the expert, “in Syria, we have witnessed the attempts of at least two new centers of power – Turkey and Saudi Arabia – to pursue their geopolitical goals by means of force. Subsequently, Iran too began to display its geopolitical ambitions in the Syrian theater. The activation of power centers constitutes a phenomenon that by far extends the field of the broader Middle East.”

In his opinion, Poland, India, Brazil and Iran also pursue such a policy, and, assuming a stabilization of the economic situation, Indonesia and Egypt will soon follow. For an analysis of the other vectors in global development that have emerged in the context of the conflict in Syria and Iraq, read Dmitry Efstafyev’s new blog entry “The five strategic vectors of the Syrian conflict” (link in Russian) on the PIR Center website.

Yulia Sveshnikova in her blog entry “The day of the onset of concern – ‘the disconcerted’, the JCPOA and the internal agreement for Iran” (link in Russian) comments on the Iranian domestic politics and analyses the new agenda of the Iranian government. “The celebrations are over – a moderate president has been elected, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) has been negotiated and its implementation is on the way. The festive mood might not last until Nowruz, because the elections for the Majlis and the Assembly of Experts will already be held in February… Now that external pressure has been eased, Iran will attempt to move forward on all external fronts – trade, investment, growth in the touristic sector; in fact, it is doing so already. But to which extent will objective systemic conditions allow for these endeavors to improve the situation in the country?”

One of the emerging challenges the Iranian government faces are the so-called “disconcerted” (link in Russian) – a movement that was mobilizing against the JCPOA already during the negotiations. More information on the implementation of the agreement can be found in the article “The Iran nuclear deal: tightrope walk without a safety net” (link in Russian) by Andrey Baklitskiy, director of the program “Russia and Nuclear Non-proliferation”.

For all questions related to the journal “Security Indexand the PIR Center blog, contact Editor-in-Chief Olga Mostinskaya via phone at +7 (495) 987 19 15 or via email at mostinskaya at pircenter.org.     

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