MOSCOW, MARCH 10, 2017, PIR-PRESS. "The current situation around the alleged violations of the INF Treaty by Russia could be an example of the first serious intervention of non-verified open source information in real decision-making in the military-political realm", – PIR Center’s Consultant Alexander Kolbin.
Part of the accusations that Russia has violated the INF Treaty is based on the open source intelligence (OSINT) by experts and journalists. In the absence of specific details from the official Moscow or Washington, open source information has in fact produced an all-sufficient basis for accusing Russia of violating the INF Treaty.
In the new issue of the monthly analytical bulletin Russia Confidential, Alexander Kolbin analyzes this method of popular verification and warns about the negative consequences of its use in practical politics. According to the expert, «even if such violations are taking place, in formulating responses to them both the research community and decision-makers should be guided not by the OSINT tools and methods alone, but by the official information and the results of mutual inspections, if such become possible. Otherwise, using officially unconfirmed results of the open source analysis in real politics can lead – and is already leading – to the uprise of another round of military-political tension in Europe, up to the possibility of a new arms race on the continent»
«In these circumstances, restoring strategic dialogue between Russia and the United States becomes an increasingly important task. Such a dialogue, inter alia, should be designed to eliminate all possible speculations on the extent of the INF Treaty violations, both by Russia and the United States. Even if such violations are taking place, in formulating responses to them both the research community and decision-makers should be guided not by the OSINT tools and methods alone, but by the official information and the results of mutual inspections, if such become possible», according to Alexander Kolbin
Analysis of the use of OSINT method in relation to possible violations of the INF Treaty in the new issue of Russia Confidential
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