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20.01.2017

«The outcome of the contradiction or dualism in the incoming Trump administration between, on the one hand, the realists who want a better relationship with Russia and a prioritization of the struggle against terrorism, and on the other, the rightwing hawks who want to push back against Iran and China», – Dayan Jayatilleka (Sri Lanka), member of PIR Center International Expert Group, expert and diplomat.  

30.11.2015

“Russia has to rethink many things in relations with Turkey, including in terms of security. It would be extremely naive to assume that the new Turkish long-term development direction will manifest itself only in Syria” — Dmitry Evstafiev, member of PIR Center Executive Board, professor of the Higher School of Economics.


28.07.2015

“I’m glad to pass the baton to a new team today, the team who made this issue and is already preparing the next one.  A part of this team grew up within the PIR Center’s walls, and another is entirely new. At the head of this team stands Olga Mostinskaya – the new Editor-in-Chief of Security Index, whom I present with pleasure to our readers today, and to whom I wish creative motivation and insightful dialogue with our wonderful authors and demanding (which is great!) readers.” – Member of the Security Index Editorial Board Vladimir Orlov.

16.12.2014

“Had the ISIS won in Kobane, the effects would have been catastrophic in Turkey: it would have ignited a popular Kurdish rebellion against the Erdogan regime which would have been held accountable for the fall of Kobane to ISIS by the Kurds of Turkey. Kobane stands as the symbol of the rise and empowerment of the Kurds in the Middle East, and its effects are going to reverberate in Syria, Iraq, Turkey and Iran in the coming years”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.   

14.11.2014

“Kobani has had serious, negative consequences. It has exposed that Turkey's Syria policy has a clear, anti-Kurdish thrust (as Turkey has refused to aid or allow aid to the Kurds, and made clear that it is against the survival of an autonomous Kurdish region in Syria), which led to violent unrest among Kurds in Turkey, and it has undermined the prospects of achieving a solution to the Kurdish issue in the country”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

09.09.2014

“This is the moment when the EU will regret that in spite of business logic to support the building of the Nabucco pipeline it did not go for it.  This regret may be shared by countries that could have supplied Nabucco and now face a near monopolistic poisition of some other partners, like Turkmenistan with respect of China. Other major exporters (like Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan) have also given up on their hope to rely on supply in the western direction and diversified their export between the North (Russia) and the East”, – Director of OSCE Academy in Bishkek Pál Dunay.

02.09.2014

“Erdogan's Achilles' heel is however the economy; his success ultimately rests on the fact that the economy has improved for the majority; Turkey is however living on foreign loans that have financed the massive rise in internal consumption. This is not a sustainable economic model; it is a bubble that will burst, and when that happens there will inevitably be political consequences for Erdogan's regime”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

 
01.07.2014

“Today we are seeing the disintegration of Iraq as a state, and this has a terrible effect on the security climate of the Middle East. We now face the very real prospect that radical Sunni Islamist militias are going to be in control of large swathes of territory in Iraq as well as in Syria – the heart of the Middle East – and territory in proximity to the border with Europe. This is going to pose a security threat not only to countries in the region like Turkey, but potentially to European countries as well”, - Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

13.05.2014

“The elections results have made it more likely that Erdogan is going to present himself as a candidate for the presidency. The big question is if a candidate with a serious chance of denying Erdogan the presidency will present himself; recently, the chief justice of the Constitutional Court has emerged as a contender. Hasim Kilic is a religious conservative like Erdogan, and he would enjoy the support of the Gülenists, but it is unlikely that he would win against Erdogan, if the latter is indeed a candidate”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

11.03.2014

“As Al-Qaeda-related groups gain strength and a significant territorial foothold in these two countries, the threats to neighbors are going to increase; Turkey especially faces an increased risk of becoming the target of terrorism. The policies of Saudi Arabia are also worrisome, with the Saudis increasing their pressure on the United States to commit itself to regime change in Syria. The visit of President Barack Obama to Saudi Arabia in March is going to be an important event in this respect”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

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