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02.12.2014

 

 

 

“Islamists in Afghanistan and Syria will not hand over their positions; US and allied states’ strikes against the Islamic state have not brought the expected results. Among the most positive developments of the period in the Middle East, it is worth noting the severe reaction of Israel and Egypt to the provocations of Islamists in their own territory. As events unfold in the Middle East, the situation will worsen due to the military expansion of the Islamists throughout the region,” - President of the Institute of Middle East Studies Evgeny Satanovsky.        

 

 

19.11.2014

“After the G-20 summit in Brisbane, a moment of clear decision-making comes for Moscow on what outcome it expects for the crisis in the south-east of Ukraine. G-20 summit was one of the last points, where the Kremlin could decide to soften its position on Ukraine and improve relations with the West. However, the country has not taken advantage of this opportunity”, – Member of the Royal Institute of International Relations, journalist Konstantin von Eggert.

14.11.2014

“Kobani has had serious, negative consequences. It has exposed that Turkey's Syria policy has a clear, anti-Kurdish thrust (as Turkey has refused to aid or allow aid to the Kurds, and made clear that it is against the survival of an autonomous Kurdish region in Syria), which led to violent unrest among Kurds in Turkey, and it has undermined the prospects of achieving a solution to the Kurdish issue in the country”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

05.11.2014

Events in Ukraine have had indirect impact on the security situation in Central Asia. There are speculation and alarmist theories on the possibility of similar events in the republics of the region. The weakening of the already shaky foundations of the CIS due to Ukrainian events and absence of Petro Poroshenko from the Commonwealth summit in Minsk strengthened those tensions”, – Director of the private research and educational center "Bilim Karvon" ("Caravan of knowledge"), Farhad Tolipov.

28.10.2014

“The security situation will most likely deteriorate over the winter of 2014. Not excluded is the fact that after the parliamentary elections in Ukraine, President Petro Poroshenko will make another attempt to solve the crisis in Donbas militarily. This will lead to a resumption of hostilities in the region with unpredictable results and will provoke further deterioration of Russia's relations with the West”, – PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant General (Ret.), Evgeny Buzhinsky.

21.10.2014

“In winter 2014 I expect the security situation to get worse. By the time the campaign against Islamic State is over we will see the group becoming active and stronger outside Syria and Iraq just like Al-Qaeda before. Libya will become hub for terrorism and its transition will become even more complicated than it has been. The USA might find itself sucked into an endless conflict in the region and light as well decide to go back to Iraq under whatever pretext”, - Independent Libyan Academic, Journalist, Mustafa Fetouri.

14.10.2014

“Deterioration of US-Russian relations led to the situation where Moscow did not become an ally of Washington in the fight against the Islamic state, despite the fact that the Islamists pose bigger threat to Russia than to America. The fact that the Kremlin ignores anti-ISIS coalition creates a particular problem for the Americans, reducing their ability to influence the situation in the Middle East and Northern Africa”, – President of the Center on Global Interests, Nikolai Zlobin.

       
07.10.2014

“The USA’s readiness to use military force against ISIS is a good first step. However, military action alone will not solve this issue and there is need for a much broader strategic approach, which, so far, remains absent from the US strategy. There is no clear indication of plans for the day after”, - Chairman and Founder of the Gulf Research Center, Abdulaziz Sager.

       

01.10.2014

International Security Index iSi as of October 1, 2014 reached 2838 points, which is 54 points higher than the previous month. Increase of Index iSi is associated with the entry into force of the ceasefire agreement in the southeast of Ukraine after the parties of the conflict signed a peace plan in Minsk, as well as with the launch of the USA strategy to combat the forces of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.

30.09.2014

“The strategy announced by the USA on fighting with the Islamists is piecemeal and will not lead to the destruction of the Islamic state. The basis of the strategy is that Americans rely on one terrorist group to fight a similar one and are also training the third terrorist group . The main, open-ended question is whether the United States will strike at Bashar al-Assad’s troops in Syria”, – President of the Institute of Middle East Studies, Evgeny Satanovsky.    

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