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21.10.2014

“In winter 2014 I expect the security situation to get worse. By the time the campaign against Islamic State is over we will see the group becoming active and stronger outside Syria and Iraq just like Al-Qaeda before. Libya will become hub for terrorism and its transition will become even more complicated than it has been. The USA might find itself sucked into an endless conflict in the region and light as well decide to go back to Iraq under whatever pretext”, - Independent Libyan Academic, Journalist, Mustafa Fetouri.

14.10.2014

“Deterioration of US-Russian relations led to the situation where Moscow did not become an ally of Washington in the fight against the Islamic state, despite the fact that the Islamists pose bigger threat to Russia than to America. The fact that the Kremlin ignores anti-ISIS coalition creates a particular problem for the Americans, reducing their ability to influence the situation in the Middle East and Northern Africa”, – President of the Center on Global Interests, Nikolai Zlobin.

       
07.10.2014

“The USA’s readiness to use military force against ISIS is a good first step. However, military action alone will not solve this issue and there is need for a much broader strategic approach, which, so far, remains absent from the US strategy. There is no clear indication of plans for the day after”, - Chairman and Founder of the Gulf Research Center, Abdulaziz Sager.

       

01.10.2014

International Security Index iSi as of October 1, 2014 reached 2838 points, which is 54 points higher than the previous month. Increase of Index iSi is associated with the entry into force of the ceasefire agreement in the southeast of Ukraine after the parties of the conflict signed a peace plan in Minsk, as well as with the launch of the USA strategy to combat the forces of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.

30.09.2014

“The strategy announced by the USA on fighting with the Islamists is piecemeal and will not lead to the destruction of the Islamic state. The basis of the strategy is that Americans rely on one terrorist group to fight a similar one and are also training the third terrorist group . The main, open-ended question is whether the United States will strike at Bashar al-Assad’s troops in Syria”, – President of the Institute of Middle East Studies, Evgeny Satanovsky.    

24.09.2014

“On the eve of the SCO summit, Tajikistan with special attention expected whether Karimov comes himself or sends a replacement. The meeting of the two leaders, held in a constructive manner, did not raise the fog of uncertainty in bilateral relations, however it arisen hope that the dialogue between countries started. Perhaps this will lead to a decrease in tensions between Tashkent and Dushanbe”, – Director of the private research and educational center Bilim Karvon (Caravan of knowledge) Farhad Tolipov.

     

16.09.2014

“In the West, a ceasefire agreement for the east of Ukraine was taken skeptically. The issue of a new round of sanctions against Russia was not removed from the agenda. The comments from Washington and Brussels come down to doubts on whether the agreement would work or not. However, there are no other circumspect ways to resolve the crisis yet. The coming days will show if the Minsk agreement passes the test of time”, - Director General of the Russian Council for Foreign Affairs Andrey Kortunov.

09.09.2014

“This is the moment when the EU will regret that in spite of business logic to support the building of the Nabucco pipeline it did not go for it.  This regret may be shared by countries that could have supplied Nabucco and now face a near monopolistic poisition of some other partners, like Turkmenistan with respect of China. Other major exporters (like Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan) have also given up on their hope to rely on supply in the western direction and diversified their export between the North (Russia) and the East”, – Director of OSCE Academy in Bishkek Pál Dunay.

04.09.2014

International Security Index iSi as of September 1, 2014 reached 2784 points, which is 26 points higher than the previous month. Increase of Index iSi is associated with some falling of military-political tensions in the east of Ukraine, the agreement reached between Israel and Hamas on a permanent ceasefire, the elimination of the Syrian chemical weapons.

     

     

02.09.2014

“Erdogan's Achilles' heel is however the economy; his success ultimately rests on the fact that the economy has improved for the majority; Turkey is however living on foreign loans that have financed the massive rise in internal consumption. This is not a sustainable economic model; it is a bubble that will burst, and when that happens there will inevitably be political consequences for Erdogan's regime”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

 
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