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06.05.2015

“Currently and in the foreseeable future there is no reason to expect a Taliban victory in Afghanistan and the establishment of its power in the north of the country.   Accordingly, there is a possibility of a massive invasion from there to Central Asia.  Haphazard interventions by small jihadist factions into countries of the region should obviously not be excluded, but they do not constitute the real threat to the ruling regimes and are easily neutralized by their armies.  Most likely, rather, the succession crises in Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan serve as the only causes of regional destabilization, but to judge their future effects is not possible,” –Security Index journal editorial board member, Yuri Fedorov.  

26.02.2015

 “It is especially important for those interested in peace in Central Asia to demonstrate willingness and ability to make a sharp rebuff of any manifestations of instability. It is critical to state that opening a new front of global jihad and of global war on terrorism in Central Asia will not succeed; the countries of the region will not allow it. However, such a message can only be made convincing and effective by, first, actually realizing the entirety of the imminent danger in the region and by, secondly, using combined forces,” Associate Professor of MGIMO University of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Ivan Safranchuk.

23.12.2014

“After the withdrawal of the majority of ISAF troops from Afghanistan and the election of a new president Ashraf Ghani, new military and political situation has started to form in the country. To certain extent, this uncertainty is alarming for the Central Asian republics. Intra-regional agenda in 2015 will be determined by the rapid institutionalization of the Eurasian Union, which has already resulted in freezing the discussions on Central Asian integration as a tool for solving the regional problems”,  – Director of the private research and educational center "Bilim Karvon" ("Caravan of knowledge") Farhad Tolipov.

14.11.2014

“Kobani has had serious, negative consequences. It has exposed that Turkey's Syria policy has a clear, anti-Kurdish thrust (as Turkey has refused to aid or allow aid to the Kurds, and made clear that it is against the survival of an autonomous Kurdish region in Syria), which led to violent unrest among Kurds in Turkey, and it has undermined the prospects of achieving a solution to the Kurdish issue in the country”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

26.08.2014

“India has recently blocked the WTO agreement on trade facilitation. The position of New Delhi is primarily shaped by the issue of subsidies for food production. India has adopted a so-called Right to Food act. In accordance with the law, the government must provide the Indian poor with a minimum amount of food. The norms of the WTO suggest that India should abandon the food subsidies. However, the country cannot do this not only for economic but also for political reasons. Abolishing this law in the near future would be a political suicide for any government”, – Vice President, Observer Research Foundation Nandan Unnikrishnan.

 

22.07.2014

“The latest events related to the destruction of civil airliner of Malaysian airlines in Ukraine even more seriously aggravate and deepen instability and had a direct impact on the global atmosphere of security. It is difficult to predict how events will unfold after the situation around shot down airliner. Most likely the blame for the incident would lay on the separatists in the eastern Ukraine. As Moscow supports them, for Russia - this situation will be accompanied by high emotional background”, - Member of the Royal Institute of International Relations, journalist Konstantin von Eggert.

08.07.2014

“The new detente between the governments of India and Pakistan has been positive. The attacks by the Pakistani Taliban and the counteroffensive by the Pakistani armed forces may mean a reduction in the gap between Indian and Pakistani threat perceptions with regards to Afghanistan after the US withdrawal. This may make a joint approach feasible”, – former Permanent Representative to the UN in Geneva, Senior Lecturer in Politics at the University of Colombo, Amb. Dayan Jayatilleka.

18.02.2014

“Now, more than 12 years after NATO launched its operation in Afghanistan, what we can assert is that the terrorist network is expanding rapidly, its morale has been strengthened by the dream of an Islamic caliphate, and the member countries of the anti-terror coalition may well have to shift from attack to defense”, – PIR Center’s Senior Research Fellow Vadim Kozyulin.

01.08.2013

safranchuk“Today the Afghan society exists with a great uncertainty towards its own future. One period of Afghanistan history ends today and there is no clarity how the country will move on and who will become a new ‘global sponsor’ of Kabul”, – Deputy Director of the Institute of Current International Problems of the Diplomatic Academy of the Russian Foreign Ministry. 


21.05.2013

“The chances that the crisis in Syria will be stopped in the nearest future are diminishing. I don’t believe that in the summer of 2013 there will be some fundamental changes in security situation. In June, Iran's Presidential elections will be held. After them, I think some new balance of power in the region can be seen. Anyway, the situation inside the country and abroad will depend mainly on their results”, - Editor-in-Chief of Kommersant FM radio, Konstantin von Eggert.

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