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18.01.2016

“In 2016, public opinion will have to strike a balance between democracy and security. As the demands placed on great powers to counter threats continue to grow, overall cohesion is weakened and the current situation worsens. If terrorist groups decide to use weapons of mass destruction, the negative repercussions will be felt across the globe. The threat increases as great powers engage in heavy military build-up” – Sergio Duarte, member of the International Expert Group of PIR Center.

23.12.2014

“After the withdrawal of the majority of ISAF troops from Afghanistan and the election of a new president Ashraf Ghani, new military and political situation has started to form in the country. To certain extent, this uncertainty is alarming for the Central Asian republics. Intra-regional agenda in 2015 will be determined by the rapid institutionalization of the Eurasian Union, which has already resulted in freezing the discussions on Central Asian integration as a tool for solving the regional problems”,  – Director of the private research and educational center "Bilim Karvon" ("Caravan of knowledge") Farhad Tolipov.

16.12.2014

“Had the ISIS won in Kobane, the effects would have been catastrophic in Turkey: it would have ignited a popular Kurdish rebellion against the Erdogan regime which would have been held accountable for the fall of Kobane to ISIS by the Kurds of Turkey. Kobane stands as the symbol of the rise and empowerment of the Kurds in the Middle East, and its effects are going to reverberate in Syria, Iraq, Turkey and Iran in the coming years”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.   

10.12.2014

“The pessimistic scenario leaves open the beginning of a war between Russia and Ukraine, and even further clashes between Russia and NATO. Such turn of events is possible, if the Ukrainian war party decides to solve the problem of the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Lugansk republics by force, or if the rebels resume hostilities in an attempt to break the economic blockade. In any of these scenarios, it will be difficult for Russia to maintain the position of a neutral observer, especially if the question arises about the military defeat of the self-proclaimed republics”, - PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant General (Retired), Evgeny Buzhinsky.

       
08.12.2014

International Security Index iSi as of December 1, 2014 reached 2773 points, which is 34 points lower than the previous month. Decrease of iSi is associated with activation of skirmishes between the army and militias in the south-east of Ukraine, continuing confrontation with the Islamists in Syria and Iraq, inability of Iran and the six international mediators to work out a final agreement on the Iranian nuclear program, the fall of oil prices to $ 70 per barrel.   

02.12.2014

 

 

 

“Islamists in Afghanistan and Syria will not hand over their positions; US and allied states’ strikes against the Islamic state have not brought the expected results. Among the most positive developments of the period in the Middle East, it is worth noting the severe reaction of Israel and Egypt to the provocations of Islamists in their own territory. As events unfold in the Middle East, the situation will worsen due to the military expansion of the Islamists throughout the region,” - President of the Institute of Middle East Studies Evgeny Satanovsky.        

 

 

19.11.2014

“After the G-20 summit in Brisbane, a moment of clear decision-making comes for Moscow on what outcome it expects for the crisis in the south-east of Ukraine. G-20 summit was one of the last points, where the Kremlin could decide to soften its position on Ukraine and improve relations with the West. However, the country has not taken advantage of this opportunity”, – Member of the Royal Institute of International Relations, journalist Konstantin von Eggert.

14.11.2014

“Kobani has had serious, negative consequences. It has exposed that Turkey's Syria policy has a clear, anti-Kurdish thrust (as Turkey has refused to aid or allow aid to the Kurds, and made clear that it is against the survival of an autonomous Kurdish region in Syria), which led to violent unrest among Kurds in Turkey, and it has undermined the prospects of achieving a solution to the Kurdish issue in the country”, – Senior Fellow with the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, Halil Karaveli.

05.11.2014

Events in Ukraine have had indirect impact on the security situation in Central Asia. There are speculation and alarmist theories on the possibility of similar events in the republics of the region. The weakening of the already shaky foundations of the CIS due to Ukrainian events and absence of Petro Poroshenko from the Commonwealth summit in Minsk strengthened those tensions”, – Director of the private research and educational center "Bilim Karvon" ("Caravan of knowledge"), Farhad Tolipov.

28.10.2014

“The security situation will most likely deteriorate over the winter of 2014. Not excluded is the fact that after the parliamentary elections in Ukraine, President Petro Poroshenko will make another attempt to solve the crisis in Donbas militarily. This will lead to a resumption of hostilities in the region with unpredictable results and will provoke further deterioration of Russia's relations with the West”, – PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant General (Ret.), Evgeny Buzhinsky.

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