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What Future for the NPT?

Vladimir Orlov

As the 9th Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference is scheduled to commence on April 27, 2015, the reality feeds mounting uncertainty about the longer-term trajectory on the Treaty’s implementation process. With the past RevCons and PrepComs being a kaleidoscope of local successes and failures, the coming Review Conference promises neither breakthroughs nor definite responses to some long-standing questions about the NPT’s future path in the increasingly turbulent international realities. The fundamental challenges capable of blowing NPT would come true only if the future flow of international negotiations and global process undermines the principle of equal importance of the NPT’s three pillars nonproliferation, disarmament, and peaceful use of nuclear energy. This threat might be brought to life by a combined impact of a number or risks ranging from the failure to establish the WMD free zone in the Middle East and stagnation of the U.S.-Russian bilateral disarmament talks to North Korea nuclear program running wild. Dr. Vladimir Orlov, President of the PIR Center, makes an in-depth study on what future brings to NPT as a cornerstone of global stability and security.

What Future for the NPT? (full text)


Security Index, Volume 20, Issue 3-4, 2014