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Heather A. Conley, Vladimir Orlov, Gen. Evgeny Buzhinsky, Cyrus Newlin, Sergey Semenov and Roksana Gabidullina
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A View by a Russian Liberal: Thinking about the Unthinkable, or Why Herman Kahn Was Right

Yury Fedorov

“Ignoring the scenarios that now appear unthinkable – such as the United States leaving Afghanistan without first defeating the Taliban, a new Cold War breaking out, Russia's disintegration, a war against Iran or a sudden and unexpected change of regime in that country leading to a new U.S._Iranian alliance – does not just make the scientific analysis of the world politics poorer. It could also lead to some very unpleasant consequences for those political leaders who cannot escape the narrow confines of what is seemingly obvious.”

A View by a Russian Liberal: Thinking about the Unthinkable, or Why Herman Kahn Was Right (full text)


SECURITY INDEX №3-4 (88-89), 2009