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baklitsky.jpg''In April of 2008, the government of the United Arab Emirates announced its intention to collect bids to build the country’s first nuclear power plant. Abu Dhabi’s dynamic activity, which concluded with a contract awarded to the South Korean company KEPCO, showed that nuclear energy development in the Middle East will cease to be associated just with the risks and threats of nuclear weapons proliferation and is already becoming another high-yield industrial sector,” – PIR Center research fellow Andrey Baklitsky.


“The Korean peninsula where bellicose rhetoric between North and South Korea has gained momentum is another hotbed of tension. Despite the statement of the North’s readiness to start war with the South, I'm sure that there will be no real swar. Otherwise, it would mean the end of the North Korean regime. There are no reasons to rely on Russia’s and China’s (primarily China’s) military aid. And alone North Korea is clearly going to lose.  It should be taken into account that here is neither nuclear weapons in North Korea, no reliable delivering mechanisms with a range of over 1,800 km”, - PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant General (Retired) Evgeny Buzhinsky. 


“In Israel, a new government coalition was created. Despite the opinion that this coalition is unstable and unlikely to last for a long, I would have said the opposite - it is very stable. The new government will deal with the pressing problems of Israel, not with a scam with a Palestinian state, which is uninteresting for Israeli leaders and voters. If Ramallah was really interested in dialogue, not in provocations, it would start with any Israeli government”, - President of the Institute of Middle East Studies Evgeny Satanovsky.


“French military intervention in the Malian conflict demonstrated algorithm of possible external interference in Syrian conflict: the most desperate of NATO members (France or Turkey) begins the invasion, other members of the alliance provide political, moral, or, in extreme cases, logistical support. No collective NATO action should be expected”, - PIR Center Senior Vice President, Lieutenant General (Retired), Evgeny Buzhinsky (Russia).  



“The agony of the Palestinian national movement becomes evident. Suicide attacks against Israel, and readiness for a complete break up with it are parts of the strategy of external sponsors of terrorism (Hamas) to end the Oslo process without Palestinian side (PNA) fulfilling it part conditions. In fact, the new round of conflict was provoked in order to get the status of UN statehood circumventing the Oslo agreements, that Yasser Arafat pledged implement by 1999”, -  President of the Institute of Middle East Studies Evgeny Satanovsky.


“New round of Palestinian-Israeli confrontation threatens to be painfully slow. It will last as long as Israel will need to decide to occupy the Gaza Strip. Israeli authorities demonstrate the determination of action and intend to start full-scale ground operation against Hamas in the coming days. Missiles from the Palestinian enclave began to fall in the area of Tel Aviv at the time that is very heated for Israel. The election campaign in country is in full swing. This is not in really favorable for the Palestinians”, - President of the Institute of Middle East Studies Evgeny Satanovsky


“In Uzbekistan, a documentary film about the negative effects of social networks, such as Facebook, Odnoklassniki, and other similar resources has been shot. In the movie, social media were compared to machine guns and nuclear bombs. The main message of the film is that social networks are a new type of the weapons of mass destruction. But, I do not think that with fast developing information technologies it is possible to block, ban or censor them as it was possible during the times of the former Soviet Union” -  PIR Center International Expert Group member, independent political analyst, Farhad Tolipov.


“Riots in the Middle East, Africa and Asia countries provoked by Innocent of Muslims movie have demonstrated that Syria, Libya, Egypt, Tunisia and other countries affected by the Arab Spring - are not the limit. Security and stability are under threat even in countries that have passed through the revolution and regime change”, - Member of the Royal Institute of International Relations, Konstantin von Eggert. 


“South Sudan is one of the leading oil producers on the continent, and after becoming independent hoped that its oil exports were going to drive its reconstruction and development process. This has not realized. The process of its on-going conflicts with Sudan, high level of corruption and lack of infrastructure have been serving to postpone the materialization of its oil exports driving its reconstruction and development agenda. The oil wealth possessed by South Sudan is one of the central aspects of conflicts between Sudan and South Sudan”, – Head of the Governance and Democracy research programme at the Africa Institute of South Africa in Pretoria Sehlare Makgetlaneng.


“There is considerable probability of low-intensity foreign military intervention aimed at decisively destabilizing the Syrian state as a prelude to an overt cross-border military intervention.  It would be irrational for the Syrian state forces to use chemical weapons as this would undoubtedly trigger external intervention. Therefore it is far more likely that Syrian chemical weapons will be used by rogue elements which wish to catalyze such intervention. What is most likely in this regard is a 21st century version of the WMD scare or the Tonkin Gulf incident – a rumor, backed by digital media special effects, which could trigger a tsunami of calls for external intervention” – Sri Lanka's Ambassador to France and Permanent Delegate to UNESCO Dayan Jayatilleka.