PIR PRESS NEWS
“The joint comprehensive plan of action is contributing to regional and global peace; it needs the support of all parties to the agreement. We were unanimous that although the deal is not perfect, there appears to be no chance of securing a better one at present. It looks highly unlikely that either side could be compelled to enter a new negotiation which would lead to a different result. It is this or no deal in the near future. And the latter would bring us back to a path that could easily lead to miscalculation and a new disaster in the Middle East”, – Dr. Vladimir A. Orlov, Special Advisor to the PIR Center, a member of the GRF International Task Force.
"Current situation around the alleged violations of the INF Treaty by Russia could be an example of the first serious intervention of non-verified open source information in real decision-making in the military-political realm", – PIR Center’s Consultant Alexander Kolbin.
“Both strategic stability and global security rely heavily on confidence. The inherent dual-use nature of all emerging technologies can undermine this confidence and has the potential to trigger arms races”, Jarmo Sareva, Director of the UN Institute for Disarmament Research (UNIDIR).
International Security Index iSi
THE DOW JONES OF INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
What is iSi? - The International Security Index (iSi) is a comprehensive index of the level of international security developed by the PIR Center through a project that has been ongoing for over a year. The project is currently undergoing an international assessment. The iSi index is meant to demonstrate the extent to which the international security situation differs from the “ideal” (assumed as 4210 points according to our methodology) at each point in time. It also indicates how various specific military and nonmilitary factors are effecting international security.
How is iSi calculated? - The most important characteristics of iSi are its comprehensiveness, robustness, and clarity. A great number of the factors that directly effect international security are reflected in iSi in a concentrated form. They include: the threat of global nuclear war, the number and intensity of local conflicts, the type of political relations between various countries and international organizations, the intensity and scale of terrorist activity, the stability of the global economy, and the threat posed by man-made catastrophes and epidemics. The aim of iSi is to provide quantitative indicators that reflect the dynamics of trends in international security. The iSi index is meant to demonstrate the extent to which the international security situation differs from the “ideal” at each point in time. It also indicates how various specific military and nonmilitary factors are affecting international security. More details on iSi methodology is availabla here.
What is International expert group (INTEG) for? - The PIR Center's monthly calculation of iSi is accompanied by interviews with our International Expert Group, which includes representatives from Russia, Argentina, Brazil, China, France, Hungary, India, Saudi Arabia, Sweden the United States and Uzbekistan. The evaluations of these experts in no way influence the calculation of the Index. Nevertheless, they make it possible for us to see how our calculations are viewed in a given month and, in particular, the dynamics of iSi over the course of several months at a time, in various regions of the world.
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